Geospatial Mapping and Monitoring of Sandbars in the Forcados River: Implications for Sustainable Blue Economy in the Niger Delta
Chinwe Felicia Mogo *
African Marine Environment Sustainability Initiative (AFMESI), Suite 2, Silverwood Court, DPK District, Off Orchid Road, Lekki County, Lekki–Epe Expressway, Lagos, Nigeria.
Comfort Oyindamola Agbabiaka
Department of Chemistry, University of Abuja, Federal Capital Territory, Abuja, Nigeria.
Becky Peremoboere Bamiekumo
Department of Geology, Niger Delta University, Wilberforce Island, Bayelsa State, Nigeria.
Chiamaka Obiageli Mogo
African Marine Environment Sustainability Initiative (AFMESI), Suite 2, Silverwood Court, DPK District, Off Orchid Road, Lekki County, Lekki–Epe Expressway, Lagos, Nigeria.
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
Understanding the spatiotemporal dynamics of sandbars along major river systems is vital for shoreline stability, sediment management, inland navigation, fisheries, aquaculture and coastal economy sustainability. This study investigates the mapping and monitoring of sandbars along the Forcados River in the Niger Delta, Nigeria, using geospatial tools and satellite imagery spanning 2003, 2013, and 2023. Utilizing high-resolution Landsat and Google Earth imagery, coupled with geospatial and morphometric analyses, the study identifies six major sandbars (SB1–SB6) and quantifies changes in their geometric, shape-based, and sedimentological parameters over the two-decade period. Results reveal consistent trends of lateral migration, expansion, accretion, and stabilization of sandbars, driven primarily by fluvial hydrodynamics, seasonal sediment flux, and upstream anthropogenic activities such as dredging and dam construction. The statistical relationship between length, width, and area yielded strong R² values (>0.96), indicating coherent geomorphic development across decades. Moran’s I spatial autocorrelation further highlighted a significant positive clustering (Moran's Index = 0.5147, p < 0.01) between sandbar locations and elevation. Grain size analysis based on the Folk and Ward method indicated predominantly medium to coarse sands with mesokurtic to leptokurtic distributions, suggesting moderate to high energy depositional environments. The findings contribute a geospatial database that supports riverine navigation planning, fisheries management, and aquaculture site suitability, while informing marine spatial planning and blue economy strategies. The study demonstrates the value of integrating remote sensing and spatial analysis for proactive river and coastal management, recommending sustained monitoring with drone photogrammetry and AI-enhanced tracking systems to build resilience in Nigeria’s coastal zones.
Keywords: Sandbar evolution, geospatial analysis, Forcados River, marine blue economy, remote sensing, sediment morphometry, Niger Delta